When it comes to betting the spread at Kansas sports betting sites, taking the head coach’s tendencies into account can have as much of an impact as the players on the field.
In Kansas, that means betting fans can’t look to future Hall of Famer Andy Reid’s career numbers for much guidance for how the Chiefs will do against the spread in 2023.
BetKansas.com utilized data from TeamRankings.com to gather every active NFL head coach’s record against the spread (ATS), dating back to 2003 when data was made available. We did not include records from interim stints.
NFL Coaches Against the Spread
The Chiefs Super Bowl odds as strong. Kansas City is listed as the favorites at +625, just ahead of the team it beat in last season’s title game (Philadelphia, +850).
Four Young Coaches Top the List
The New York Giants won a playoff game under first-year coach Brian Daboll, who was 14-5 against the spread so he tops the list with a 73.7 cover percentage. Three of the five times the Giants didn’t cover the spread in Daboll’s first season came while going 0-5 against the Cowboys and Eagles, who eliminated New York with a 38-7 loss in the divisional round.
Detroit Lions coach Dan Campbell ranks second going into his third year, while two coaching their fifth seasons — the Bengals’ Zac Taylor and the Packer Matt LaFleur — are third and fourth on the list.
But when it comes to Reid, he ranks in the bottom half at 17th. In his 24 years as head coach, he’s 180-167-6 ATS for a cover percentage of 51.8. So, it’s nearly a 50-50 shot each week with Reid. A closer look at the Kansas sports betting apps numbers from the past five years shows the Chiefs may have fallen victim to their own success.
Why five years? That’s the time Patrick Mahomes has become the game’s most exciting quarterback. In the first two seasons with Mahomes as their starter, Kansas City was 22-12-3 ATS and won the Super Bowl at the end of that second year.
In the past three seasons, with everyone gunning for the Chiefs, that ATS record has dipped to 26-32-1. The three-year stretch ended with Kansas City winning another Super Bowl despite going 8-11-1 ATS in 2022.
What mattered most was going 17-3 on the field and the 38-35 win over the Philadelphia Eagles in the Super Bowl on a field goal with eight seconds remaining. The crazy part is 15 of those 20 games were decided by 10 points or less and 12 were by six or fewer points.
According to Caesars Sportsbook Kansas, the Chiefs are seven-point favorites in the home opener against Campbell’s rising Lions. Just know that teams are still gunning to knock off the champion.
